IMF And Fed Data: A Wake-Up Call For Long Term Investors [View article]
Lets put some of your numbers in perspective.
Global GDP is around $77 trillion and and lets say debt is around 3X this amount or $231 trillion.
In this light $11 trillion is a rounding error and is clearly insufficient to absorb losses of any serious magnitude which is why US banks are making few domestic loans while reducing their exposure to Europe.
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News [View article]
Obama vetoes foreclosure bill. In the first effective veto of his presidency, Obama blocked a bill that would have required state and federal courts to accept the validity of out-of-state document notarizations; the bill would have made it harder to challenge the authenticity of foreclosures and other legal documents. ______________________...
I have mixed feelings about this whole mess but the Community Organizer in Chief's veto of this foreclosure bill was entirely too predictable. Whatever the shortcomings in title transfers, we know money is owed and the people living in the house owe it.
It's still early in the game but it comes as no surprise that revenue misses (7) are outpacing earnings misses (5). Notwithstanding the global inventory correction, I do not think final demand is firmly in place and revenues are harder to "manage" than other P&L line items.
Bracing for 2009 Earnings - Barron's [View article]
Many analysts have been out of touch with the severity of this contraction and its impact on corporate earnings.
Some earlier estimates for the SP500 were simply silly.
With all of the unknowns, I believe it is impossible to reliably predict when this mess will turn around.
Once the finanacial crisis is put to rest, the recession will need to be dealt with and this where the the next stimulus package will be of critical importance.
IMF And Fed Data: A Wake-Up Call For Long Term Investors [View article]
Global GDP is around $77 trillion and and lets say debt is around 3X this amount or $231 trillion.
In this light $11 trillion is a rounding error and is clearly insufficient to absorb losses of any serious magnitude which is why US banks are making few domestic loans while reducing their exposure to Europe.
I'm short financials.
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News [View article]
______________________...
I have mixed feelings about this whole mess but the Community Organizer in Chief's veto of this foreclosure bill was entirely too predictable. Whatever the shortcomings in title transfers, we know money is owed and the people living in the house owe it.
Earnings Season So Far [View article]
Bracing for 2009 Earnings - Barron's [View article]
Some earlier estimates for the SP500 were simply silly.
With all of the unknowns, I believe it is impossible to reliably predict when this mess will turn around.
Once the finanacial crisis is put to rest, the recession will need to be dealt with and this where the the next stimulus package will be of critical importance.